pymc-devs/pymc

Implement DiffTransform for RandomWalk distributions

Open

#6,098 opened on 2022年9月4日

GitHub で見る
 (1 comment) (0 reactions) (0 assignees)Python (1,902 forks)batch import
enhancementshelp wantedpytensor

Repository metrics

Stars
 (7,926 stars)
PR merge metrics
 (平均マージ 11d) (30d で 7 merged PRs)

説明

My guess is that unobserved [Gaussian/MvNormal/MvStudentT]RandomWalk would sample much better if NUTS could propose innovation values instead of the "absolute" timeseries values. This is what is done when one manually creates a random walk model by

x_raw = pm.Normal("x_raw")
x = pm.Deterministic("x", x_raw.cumsum())

If we just added the transform, there would some redundancies in the logp, because the proposed diffed values would be cumsumed (in the back-transform) and then differentiated again in the randomwalk logprob, but we can probably teach Aesara to optimize those away.

Once we have that, the user won't be worse off when creating unobserved random walks via the specialized PyMC distribution classes.

コントリビューターガイド